I’m not normally big on award shows.  Even less so for shows that focus on people with generally poor social skills.  Let’s face it, actors & dancers are trained to entertain… game designers not so much. That said, I think the idea is sound.  Having peer recognition is always a good thing.

This year had a lot of winners.  God of War won the big title.  Read Dead Redemption won a few related, Celeste a few, Dead Cells a couple, Fornite some.  There’s a significant portion (like 30%) that’s dedicated to e-sports folk.  In that regard, it’s like the opposite of the Oscars, where the technology portion is more celebrated than the people.

What’s interesting here is that there’s not all that much controversy.   God of War this year, Breath of the Wild before, Overwatch, Witcher3… all solid games.  You’d be a happy gamer if you played even half of what’s listed here.

Does make me think about what I played this year.  I agree that God of War was a clear standout, hitting near perfect notes on every aspect of the game.  The ending alone…

Those are giants, not mountains

Other notable highlights, in no particular order.

• Read Dead Redemption 2 – lots of info lately on this one.  Sprawling epic story, feeling more like a simulation than a game.  Astounding level of detail.  Only weakness is the engine/controls
• Spider-Man – a beautiful view of Marvel’s New York, with great visuals, controls, and story.  The randomness of events is fun, the various tasks throughout add a lot of lore.  Few games make travel feel as much fun as this one. It suffers a bit from Ubisoft’s icons-everywhere syndrome.
• Monster Hunter World – The most beautiful of all grinds.  Each monster is unique, and there’s no better feeling than the final blow on a giant that can sneeze your death.  Because the gains are not incremental but instead plateaus, it makes the tail end of the game feel like hours without progress, then a gold mine.
• Ni No Kuni 2 – Sequel to one of my favorite RPGs, but takes a more kitchen sink approach.  The art and combat mechanics are superb.  The first 75% of the game is pure JRPG, with a great story, minor backtracking, and continual progress.  The last 25% is an un-fun level grind – which is again a JRPG staple.
• Pillars of Eternity 2 – I’ve yet to finish it, and can’t really tell which point of the game I’m at.  The story & mechanics are much improved on the previous.  What I can’t get over is the travel portion over the seas.  It’s minutia that I don’t find enjoyable…
• WoW: Battle for Azeroth – I’ve written enough about this.  This expansion plus the whole Diablo:Immortal push has soured me tremendously on Blizzard.

As a trend, I notice that these are not 8 hour games.  Each one of them took weeks to get through (or not in PoE2’s case).  They are also not PvP games.  2 of them are PS4 exclusives as well… and combined with Horizon: Zero Dawn, you can spend a few hundred hours playing GotY candidates/winners.

In terms of things on my wish list:

• Dead Cells – metroivania + roguelike
• Celeste – a tough platformer (by a Canadian too!)
• Frostpunk – a city builder, based on scenarios
• Into the Breach – a tactical RPG with very short sessions
• Divinity 2 – isometric RPG with was seems like sandbox mechanics

On top of the recent expansion to Warframe and upcoming season of Path of Exile.

For all the negative gaming stories that take up space in the news, there are some absolutely amazing games out there to play.  That’s the best part – having too much fun to have time to complain.

Let’s do all the dumb.

I’ve been a skeptic of Fallout 76 since it was announced.  Multiplayer games are hard, and Bethesda games have always been more about potential than delivery.  People are still playing FO4 and Skyrim because of the modding community.  Bethesda releases a large game, a big sandbox, plenty of bugs, and let’s the community make with it what they will.  I’ve thought for some time that was rather unique for such a large company, but it seems an understood deal.

FO76 seemed to be more of the same initially.  Quite a few folks were hopeful of simply having the original sandbox but with a multiplayer mod.  Not something that’s easy mind you, but Skyrim was in 2011 and Fallout 4 was in 2015.  It’s not like there wasn’t some amount of time here.

But as the game grew closer to release, it became clear of two things.

1. It was Fallout 4 with a mod
2. Finances trumped game decision making

Fallout Mod

FO76 uses the Creation Engine, which was first launched in 2011 for Skyrim.   It was in development for years prior to that.  That is a smart re-use of existing tools.  The error in this is that the engine was built for single player games, and had many years of coding changes with that mode specifically in mind.  It’s a bit like taking a base model car and being passionate about rally racing.  Then using that rally car for drag racing.   Hard to judge if it would have just been easier to go back to stock.

The impacts here are simply in the variety of bugs and the way the game runs.  There are plenty of posts/videos on how the beta ran.  That you could make client-side changes was standard in single player games – and it was here too.  That world speed was tied to frame rate was there.  AI pathing was there.  Pretty much most bugs that exist today in Fallout 4 (and addressed through mods) were present in FO76.

And that’s fine.  Games have bugs.  Releasing a game with bugs is normal.  The type and quantity of those bugs is a different matter.  It was pretty clear Bethesda needed the launch date to hit, even if it could have used another 6 months of work.  (Blizz anyone?)

This was for lack of better terms, an Early Access title released by a AAA developer.  Time will tell if it can get over that stigma.

Finances are King

By now everyone has heard of the bag issues.  The ultimate edition ($200) was supposed to come with a canvas bag, instead shipped with an extremely cheap nylon bag.

So cheap you can’t find it at WalMart

The answer from Bethesda was that the canvas bags were too expensive to make.  Syncaine covers this point quite well.  The only people who wanted the bag were super fans, the ones that will be there no matter what.  They are the last people you want to piss off.  Imagine a US football game where face paint was banned from the stadium.

They then offered $5 of in-game credit (not enough to buy the virtual version of the bag) and expected that to be enough.  This is when the class action lawsuits were being formed, and frankly there was a decent chance the players would win.  Would be fairly easy to show that Bethesda knew a long time ago that canvas bags were not possible, yet they were still advertising them even after launch.  So now they are making canvas bags and letting people place tickets to get them.

Data Breach

And just last night, the ticketing system in Bethesda decided to make life ultra fun by granting access to players to the overall database.  There are two interesting laws that apply here.  GDPR is one, and that has a fine of up to 5% of worldwide revenue as it relates to data breaches.  The other is a very recent California law that states that if 500 people from that state are impacted, the company must advise all their users of the data breach.  This is why we’ve seen a fair amount of breaches in the news these past few weeks.

All the Dumb

If this was satire, then Bethesda would get the all-time trophy for trolling.  It’s a real masterclass.

If it isn’t, then Bethesda managed something impressive:

• Had a beta to find bugs
• Told gamers that it wouldn’t fix anything until after launch
• Realized how dumb a position that was and fixed the game breaking ones a few days before launch
• Took a game noted for its story / NPC interactions and removed said story / NPCs
• Managed to deliver a ~50% metacritic ranking (lower than Bus Simulator 18)
• Knowingly advertised one product while delivering another
• Managed to insult their super fans
• Told players too bad, and gave them virtual credit in their game (~$5)
• Said credit was not sufficient to buy the virtual bag in the game
• Realized they were facing a lawsuit, if not criminal charges for fraud and opted to deliver what was advertised instead
• Discovered a bug in their ticketing system that caused a large data breach, with potential million dollar fines
• All within couple months

As a case study, it will be hard to find someone else who can do this much damage to their brand in such a small amount of time.  All of it self-inflicted.  I wonder what the long-term impacts will be on the company, and just gaming as a whole.  Maybe this is enough of a crater of bad things that practices change.

Maybe not.

Consoles aren’t really part of this conversation, since they are closed ecosystems.  It’s not like you could get God of War from anything other than the PS store.

PCs though… there are so many options.  The giant is certainly Steam, but there are others around.  Important term to remember here, there are storefronts where you buy the game, and Content Delivery Networks (CDN) that allow you to download the game.  Let’s look at the options first.

GOG used to be solely about retro grames, but it’s a solid spot for some indie games, and things a bit out of the ordinary.  Built in CDN.

Green Man Gaming often has massive discounts with coupons, and integrates easily with Steam.  No CDN here.

Origin is used solely for EA games.  CDN included.  It’s own by EA though, so it’s the devil.  Not a whole lot of choice here if you want to play an EA game online.  Steam will even redirect you here.  Probably the worst UI and overhead of all the services I’ve used.

Blizzard has a launcher/storefront where they’ve started to include Activision games.  As a CDN it’s hard to compete with the download/install options, and the UI is extremely clean.  Makes you wonder why EA can’t do this…

ARC/Trion/Daybreak launchers all follow the same model as Blizzard but with a whole lot less money.  Every MMO seems to have it’s own launcher, but the ones that cover multiple games are the interesting bits.  In general because of the currency that can be shared between the games on offer.  They are serviceable.

Discord is about to launch their own game store to compete directly with Steam.  Sort of makes sense, given that most PC games have a Discord account in the first place.  The UI is similar to Steam (grey everywhere).  It remains to be seen what type of catalogue will be present.

Epic Games recently announced they will do something similar to Discord, but went into much more detail regarding the financials.  Epic will only take a 12% cut, have no forums, and a focus on review bombing.

The Juggernaut

Steam dominates for very simple reasons.

• The damn thing works.  Full stop. I’ve never had it crash or fail.  Every other CDN has crashed at least once, if not multiple times (looking at you Origin).
• It has a massive catalog, built over years.  For pretty much any game, if it isn’t on Steam, it’s likely not available elsewhere.  Exceptions apply to publisher-owned platforms (Origin/Blizzard).
• It has sale events that feel like you’re getting stuff for free.  Who doesn’t like the holiday sale, where you can get games at 50-90% off?
• Players have had it installed for years, so there’s a high level of familiarity with the system for people who have disposable income.
• Simple refund process

It sucks for a similar set of reasons

• It takes a massive share from developers … 30%+
• It has so much crap, it’s almost impossible for the average player to find something “good” without depending on curated lists
• It has forums, which developers need to manage without any administrative tools.  One bad post from someone with 5 minutes of gameplay can derail an entire game.
• Review bombs are common place, and Valve has done a poor job of managing it
• Steam opted to stop curating any content that wasn’t deemed illegal.  Gaming bloat/cloning is prolific.
• It is the primary enabler of Early Access gaming, which is next worst trend after loot boxes.

For many players, the pros outweigh the cons.  When you look at gaming as a whole, Steam has opened up the entire globe to the concept of digital downloads and effective CDN management.  As a piece of technology, what it’s done is incredible.

As a service to gamers, it’s provided many more eyeballs on games than ever before.  It embraced Web2.0 before it was a thing, allowing the consumer to provide feedback to the developers and to other prospective buyers.  There are plenty of games I never would have found if not for Steam.

For developers, it provided a relatively low cost deployment option when physical media distribution costs were so high.  More things could be shipped.  The major downside to this is there is a significant amount of gamers who are toxic and can derail any developer with minimal effort.

But…the world Steam was built to address doesn’t really exist anymore.  It’s implemented the change it set out to push through.  PC gaming is prolific.  Indie developers are all over.  CDN are common.  The technology hurdle is solved.  The next hurdle is the economic management of a new gaming culture.

If  Epic can actually get a store front and CDN working, at less than half the cost of Steam, with no forums, and a managed review section, better developer tools… that’s a hell of an incentive for a developer to swap over.

I’ve reached the end of the road in RDR2.  Some thoughts.

*Spoilers, clearly*

There’s something to be said about the end of a story, and the feeling of being on-rails until the end.  Ever since Saint Denis, there was only one path for Arthur and the gang, and sure enough, it delivered.  The game had delivered all it’s splendor, and it was a choice to either keep exploring (and side missions) or take the main story to completion.

Given I had the best horse, full stats, and the best guns, there wasn’t much left to improve RPG-wise with Arthur.  The optional story bits had some interest, but they were starting to feel more like busywork that actual value.  Don’t get me wrong, each side quest is a decent nugget of storytelling and/or actin, but when all the mechanics have been revealed, there’s only so much blood left in that stone.

The rest of the main quest takes a rather dark path, at least as compared to the rest of the game.  The gang is clearly on edge being chased by the Pinkertons.  They somehow manage to tick off the army too, while instigating an ever-escalating war between the native tribe.   Cowboys and Indians are portrayed through stereotypes.  The model of the latter is deemed unacceptable in today’s society.  Rockstar does a so-so job of portraying the history of that culture being conquered by the american government.  Many a time Arthur will pipe up that the situation is very complex, but the story never actually does that justice.  It feels like window dressing.  Sort of like the Women’s Suffrage quest where all you do is drive a cart.  Or the one where you recover a black man’s wagon of doctor supplies.  I had more interaction with a random stranger who I saved from a bear trap.  Compared to other games, it’s more than enough.  Compared to some of the storylines in RDR2… it feels less.

The near entirety of the 5th act is focused on external forces and Dutch’s want to manipulate them for monetary gain.  There’s a descent into madness from the start of the game, but it really goes off the rails in the end – and quickly.  The gang can see the signs and slowly leave camp.  The wheels are coming off.

Chaos ensues, a few more robberies where Dutch leaves his gang to their fate, a final train robbery that just barely gets by and then the final show down.  Arthur finally gets the Pinkerton boss, and they come after him to the camp and it’s a mad-dash chase to get away.  After a confrontation with Dutch and another, he slowly fades away at the top of a cliff to see the sun set.  It’s a fitting end to a bad guy trying to do good in the world.

The game then continues with John Marsten 8 years later, trying to set up a new life.  I am not interested in that story.  Clearly he finds a good place, then the Pinkertons pick him up for the events of the first RDR.  There really aren’t enough loose ends for me to care to see the rest of the epilogue through.

Final Thoughts

RDR2 is one of the most complete and amazing games of the last 5 years.  It is an amazing story telling engine, a great effort at simulation, and a believable world.  It is massive without grind (more on this).  Arthur Morgan is well written and acted, so that I felt an attachment to the character and the gang’s plight.  The majority of other characters had nuance and fit in, with Mary being a high point, and Micah a low point.  The world systems and how they keep going even when you’re at a different point… that’s amazing.  Nearly every single NPC has their own life and schedule.

The downsides relate almost entirely to the gameplay mechanics.  The controls are slow and confusing.  Combat is a major part of the game, but it feels incredibly loose.  The travel time between activities is double what it should be.  I’m sure I spent 15-20% of my gameplay time just riding on my horse between places.  The fact that some quests will include quick travel TO the location but not BACK, make that point all the more solid.  It was one of the main reasons I stopped doing side quests – I didn’t want to spend 20 minutes travelling there and back. The engine feels like it’s 10 years old, with updated graphics.

I will have to compare to God of War here.  That game had amazing controls, a superb engine, the world felt real, the story was engaging… it is hard to find any part that wasn’t great or near-great.   It remains my gold standard for a console game.

That said, RDR2 is darn close and really a must play for anyone who has a console. I do hope they release it on PC, just to let a larger audience get a view as to what a massive achievement they have brought to the table.

Mainly due to another game not actually being playable all weekend.

RDR2 has 3 main branches of activities. The main quest (MQ) is scripted like a very long interactive movie.  It gates a lot of the other content in the game, and the activities you can undertake.  So if you’re playing and wondering why something seems possible but isn’t, it’s usually due to the MQ.

A second branch is the stranger/sub-quest activities that present themselves.  These are preset activities that you can undertake and open up nuance to the world around you.  They are not as formal as the MQ since they rarely focus on the gang, but instead the world building around you.  Some of these quests require you to explore the world to complete, such as finding dinosaur bones, legendary animals, or trading cards.

The third branch is the sandbox and random events.  It has general directions but nothing specific or trackable.  It could be that you get a tip about a house you can break into, or you meet up with a gang taking some hostages.  It provides a significant amount of life to the world around you.  One track of this is the upgrade system, which is predicated on collecting specific items – typically from hunting.  Of great value are satchels, which improve your carrying capacity.

I opened up Saint Denis and Chapter 4.  I figured with nearly all the map open and access to most weapons, I could focus on general character improvement.  Camp has an upgrade location where you hand in perfect pelts and get credits for some decent upgrades (non-cosmetic).  Some of these are easy (deer), some of them are hard (badger), all of them require work.

Perfect Hunting

Hunting requires planning and preparation.  To get perfect pelts, you need to find 3-star animals.  First you need to find them!  Some are really found in specific spaces (panther, badger) or spawn at certain times.  They have a random chance to spawn with normal animals, but to detect them you first need to study the animal (with binoculars).  To kill them, you need the right weapon: Bow + small game arrow, Varmint Rifle, or Scoped Rifle.  If you don’t kill them in a single shot, or with the proper weapon, the quality of the pelt drops.

That sounds oddly simple.  Did I mention that animals can hear and smell you?  That they leave tracks you can follow?  That predators hunt other prey?  So the execution isn’t exactly straightforward.  In particular for animals that are more cagey than others (damn squirrels).

For most animals, you can carry their pelt in your belt or on the back of the horse.  For large animals (bison, elk, gator), you can only carry one at a time on the back of the horse.  And stuff on the horse will disappear if you leave the horse for too long, or fall off if you stumble.  Let’s just say it’s painful to hunt a Bison up north, then travel all the way south to hand it in, only to be ambushed on the road and lose the pelt.

Open World

The best part of hunting is that it forces you off the main road.  This has you find some neat hidden spots in the world, and some extra story.  Found an abandoned oil rig, where the owner was killed because he didn’t want to sell.  Found a bunch of cannibals.  Found some ghosts.  Some hidden treasures.  A jail break.  Thieves blowing up a safe.

You really get to appreciate the finer details within the game. And there are a lot of details.

Plot spoilers?  Can you actually do that for a prequel?

RDR1 is the closing chapter of the American frontier, the end of the West.  RDR2 is the same theme, but a larger scope since it’s set earlier.  It certainly is about the impacts to the main character, but it’s also a heck of a commentary on society.

I am just entering Chapter 4 (I guess 50%?), where you can start to see the wheels really come off the dream-wagon that Dutch is pushing.  Backtrack a bit, and you start off in a blizzard, in a run down town.  You move to a small frontier-like town that has only one street.  You then move to Rhodes which has a couple streets and electricity.  Then off to Saint Denis which is a large industrial town.  Each one feels like I’m travelling 10-20 years into the future.

The parallel to today’s urbanization is evident.  Small towns are drying up everywhere as people chase jobs/money in the “big city”.  Something like 90% of Canada lives within a 2 hour drive of the US border.  The people I know who live in small towns mostly work in nearby large cities, and have regular runs into the to do complex errands.  Driving an hour is easy for them.  People in the city freak out about a 5 minute walk.

RDR2 is predicated on the charm of Dutch’s american dream of freedom and choice.  He sells it well, and his flock certainly believe him.  As the world around them closes in, he makes more and more rash decisions that lead to even further disaster.  Just the fundamental principle of “get enough money to buy some land” makes no sense if Dutch really believed in freedom.

As much as the game has you playing as Arthur Morgan, the story has little to do with him.  It’s about watching the dreams and the people around you die a slow death.  Even the mail carriers are aware that they are no longer relevant in a world with carriages.  It’s incredibly depressing.

Spectacle

The true testament to the success of this game is in the use of spectacle to provide depression.  One mission has you find mementos of an old vet who has turned to drink – you empathize with his descent, as you slowly discover he was a slave trader.  Another has you destroy the livelyhood of an old blood family, burn down their house, and make their matriarch go off the deep end.  There’s a giant firefight in the middle, and the final view of the event is straight out of any period film.

I am convinced that West World changed the direction of this game.  Sure the themes are not identical, but the concept of a very grey western, dealing with oppression, lack of power, the chase… all of it feels refined.  RDR1 (and GTA V) had a lot more black/white decision points.  The characters filled archtetypes.  RDR2 just has people.  People that are driven by their own motivations rather than the plot.

Crafting your own story throughout is extremely personal but you are only making tiny changes on the larger path.  Do you want to rescue the lady being kidnapped for who knows what?  Do you feel the need to help the farmhands defend themselves, and then rob them?  Help or hinder the drunk who crashed his cart?  Arthur has a set path – he’s an outlaw through and through.  But maybe he’s more like Robin Hood than El Chapo.  Maybe you prefer quiet to guns blazing.

Seeing it Through

I really enjoy The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly.  I’ve seen my fair share of the Duke.  There very few good “happy” westerns.  The hero is not meant to win, he’s meant to barely survive.  Shane anyone?

I know how the next game starts, so I have a pretty darn good idea how this one will end.  The destination is still a bit cloudy, but that’s really in the details.  Dutch, Javier, John, and Bill all live.  The rest… who knows.  But that journey is ridiculously captivating.  Watching the world close in around, slowly picking away at the dream until there’s nothing left.  Seeing the world trying to accommodate them, but the old style not wanting to give in.  People fight so much harder when they think they are losing something, rather than trying to gain.  It’s quite a mirror to today’s society… making it all the more enjoyable to experience.

It’s not really a game until it has fishing in it.

RDR2 has horrible controls, built out of molasses, tar, and the 1980s.  What it hides behind those controls is spectacular.  It’s about as close to West World as anything that’s ever been released.  Staggering the depth of retention here…people live their entire lives in the background, for that single random event to meet you, then go back to their lives.  It’s not so much a game, as a simulation.

And it has fishing.

Getting Started

Fishing unlocks in act 2, but only partially.  You need to be in act 3 to get all the lures opened, and the option for legendary fish.  Time is meaningless in RDR2, when comparing players.  What may take me 10 minutes may take someone else an hour, and vice versa.  Still, it’s one of the much later unlocks as compared to the other game mechanics.

You get access to a pole and some simple bobbing bait to start.  Eventually you upgrade to more complex bait for different fish.  Then you unlock lures, which you drag through the water (retrieve is the technical term) and hope a fish bites.  You can fish from land, or get into a boat and fish the water.  Time of day matters, where dusk/dawn have a positive impact… as does fishing in the rain.

Fish meat can be used as food sources, and is generally a whole lot easier to acquire than game – so it fills you up a fair bit less.

The Mechanics

Rod + bait/lure + cast = fishing.

The easy part is getting the line into the water.  The hard part is getting that fish back to you.  You need to turn the stick in a clockwise direction, but only when the fish isn’t struggling.  Otherwise you can lose the line and the fish.  Bigger fish will pull the line out when they are fighting, which you can try to stop, but again at risk of losing the line.  Fish can swim in obstacles, cutting your line.  There’s a line cutting theme here.

The very large fish can take a few minutes to pull in.  Or, you can follow the poorly written instructions and bring them in quicker with a tug down on the left joystick.  This only works if your rod is in a neutral position.  It will tug the fish closer, and you will real up the slack.  Typically can get this done twice while a fish is tired, before they get fighting again.  Cuts reel time by more than half.

Fish Variety

They have different habitats (lake, swamp, river, cold, warm, etc..) and can usually be seen at the surface splashing around.  Pike, gar, sturgeon, bass, bluegill, salmon, pickerel… there are a bunch others.

Legendary Fish

At some point you get a Stranger quest to fish up 13 legendary fish, and you need special lures to do so.  The bait shop in Lagras (SE of the map) has what you need.  These lures only attract legendary fish.  And these fish are monster size.  You then need to mail them (really) to get the associated rewards.

Rewards

Frankly, fishing is its own reward.  Sure, you get a couple bucks, some food and a neat quest.  But the fun is in the act.  It’s a lot like just riding through the country side to see the way the world looks.  Fishing gives a sense of serenity and calm, lets you appreciate the world built around you.  The people walking by, the gators tanning along, squirrels fighting over food…you get a real sense of scale.

So yeah, I’m spending way too much time fishing and not much time shootin’.  Going to be here a while.

Wikipedia link for easy reference.

Like Gangbusters

Like quite a few gamers, I cut my teeth on the early BioWare RPG staples.  Baldur’s Gate, Planescape, Icewind Dale… all of them hall of fame titles.  All based on the concept of character development, choice, and consequence.  Baldur’s Gate 2 remains my all-time best example of an RPG with hundreds of hours soaked.

Jade Empire was a neat twist on the genre, blending action combat with RPG pieces – which was the basis for Mass Effect if you think about it.  Knights of the Old Republic was a smash to play through, and dramatically opened up the possibilities for Star Wars stories.  Mass Effect 1 was a near revolution in the way RPGs functioned in the west – and I argue the reason that EA purchased the company in 2007.

Following the purchase, we received Dragon Age (Bhaalspawn anyone?), which was a massive sprawling RPG.  Mass Effect 2 was right around the corner, and another smash hit.  Due to long production times on games, both of these were well into development before the EA purchase.  I consider this the BioWare apogee.

The Downward Trend

Dragon Age 2 felt like an expansion, with the same recycled environments.  DA:Inquisition had interesting characters, but played like a solo-MMO with no healing.  Mass Effect 3 was technically sound, but threw it all away with a ridiculous ending.  So bad, that the fan feedback caused BioWare to change it after launch.  (Imagine being mad at the end of King Kong, and then on DVD he lives.)

SW:TOR launched in 2011, right at the tail end of the MMORPG bubble.  Two reboots along the way – F2P and KoFE. It solidified the trend to F2P conversion, in particular what not to do (hotbars for sale!)  It was tremendous in scale and took a couple years to find it’s identity.

The founding doctors quit in 2012.  At the same time.  Then the old guard started leaving.  Long time game directors, story writers, programmers.

Shadow Realms (4v1) was announced then cancelled.

ME:Andromeda launched to lukewarm reception.  So lukewarm, they shut down the studio that made it and put all future ME development on hold.

What’s Next

BioWare has only 2 active projects that we know of.  SWTOR, which has had slow but steady updates of the years.  The long term plans for this game aren’t clear, as most expected an expansion announcement by now.  Not sure how that really impacts the player base mind you, since there are still some mechanical changes underway.

And Anthem.  A game that appears to strongly follow in the footsteps of Destiny and The Division.

It’s fair to say that SWTOR isn’t exactly a cash cow, and Anthem must have an insane amount of pressure to deliver that the very existence of BioWare is in question.  Anthem is clearly an “all hands on deck” project.  Launching in 3 months.

Anthem Chances

People following the Destiny and Division clearly realize that making one of these games is extremely difficult.  The leveling process is easy, but keeping people engaged long term means a serious level of understanding of grind mechanics.  The good news here is that BW has some experience here with the end-game mentality in SWTOR.  The bad news is that the SWTOR model isn’t drawing all the kids to the yard.

The advantage for Anthem here is that there are two clear examples from popular games on how not to do it.  Destiny 1 was all about first out of the gate and learning with the community.  Division took months to learn that lesson, and paid a heavy price before providing a decent experience.  Destiny 2 took all the goodwill from the first game, and repeated the exact same mistakes, until a recent expansion.  I won’t say it’s easy, because it isn’t.  But good golly, do not repeat these same mistakes of others.

(Side Note: Activision’s earning call indicated that Destiny 2 undersold expectations.  It was one of the top selling games in 2017.  That’s where the bar is.)

PvE squad based games aren’t exactly popular right now.  PUBG/Fornite are dominating the market – and both are insanely popular in the mobile space.  That is a massive part of the market that is no longer available.  It is not possible to measure trends when making games… the dev cycles are so very long.  Timing is certainly key.

That said, there’s a whole lot in common with ARPGs like Diablo or Path of Exile.  You’re continuously running the same areas for chances of improved stats.  That positive feedback loop is the driver.  The concept of it never having an end is the carrot.  It’s the perception that the carrot is actually in reach that’s important.

If I was BioWare I would do everything in my power to avoid introducing PvP at launch.  The market for PvP is extremely small, given the breadth of options to gamers today.  PvP in Destiny/Division are side activities with the chance for rewards to be used in all other content.  Rare is the player who focuses solely on PvP.  Let them continue to play Fortnite/PUBG, or CoD.

The EA tarnish is hanging over everyone’s minds.  It’s surreal how people hate EA more than say oil, finance, or pharmaceutical companies who have actually caused real deaths. But they do hate EA.  And EA has a knack for exploiting every possible opportunity.  SW:BF2 took a massive beating due to micro-transactions, enough to get actual laws passed. They take great companies and turn them into a shell of their former selves.  Drug dealers have a better reputation.  People will criticize the smallest piece of Anthem just because it has an EA sticker.

The game launches in late Feb 2019.  It just posted about reaching Alpha.  It honestly does look like alpha, since they are in the “how the game responds” feedback phase.  In all honesty, that post is friggin’ solid.  It’s the sort of transparency that is missing in development.  But we’re also well past the time for a beta.  Beta is all about optimizing the numbers, bug fixing, stress testing… A good beta is 6 months.  A quick one is 3.  Had this post come out in the summer…

I do hope this game has success.  More than for the game’s sake, but for BioWare and the industry as a whole.  Quality co-op games are not common in the AAA field – we get PvP and solo.  Monster Hunter is top of mind right now, but then the list gets ultra short. Going to find out in a few short months.

Fallout76 is about to launch.  November 14th to be exact.

Fallout 76 is riddled with game breaking bugs and more hacks.

Bethesda has replied with an acknowledgement of the issues, and that they will be fixed in time.  Just not to expect a smooth game at launch.

This is the exact same model as early access on Steam.  Though in large fairness, Early Access was for devs who couldn’t find a way to subsidize their costs before being ready for release.

I am really curious as to how that works out.  A multiplayer game that knowingly launches with this lack of polish is pretty rare, and usually loses most of the playerbase unless it’s the only one in the market, or offers something super interesting.  H1Z1 and PUBG are recent examples where that applied.

And it’s not like Bethesda has ever releases a game that was bug free.  Skyrim was chocked full of bugs on launch, but it was a single player game.  I can’t really think of any multiplayer game that launched with this list of bugs, and had long term success.

Now we’re in AAA expectations, early access, and multiplayer with PvP options.  From an IT dev perspective, I would not be looking forward to the next few months.  From a business perspective, I don’t see how this actually is going to work out positively.  There won’t be positive news cycles, except for the blurbs Bethesda themselves put out (e.g. like the how to get a nuke posts recently).  Players… I can’t hazard to guess.  Bethesda players are traditionally tolerant of bugs due to the giant scale of the games, but the last release was 3 years ago (FO4). But what market is FO76 actually aiming for?  And does FO76 offer something that other games do not, outside of the Fallout universe?

I think this will be an interesting experiment in major game launches.